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So. I predicted Donald Trump would not pick a nationally known political figure, and he did.

Then I predicted Hillary … see below.

I thought she’d choose one of the Castro brothers or Cory Booker, thus sealing the Latino and/or Black vote.

Instead, she picked a white guy, a moderate Democrat who’s well known and highly respected in Virginia and beyond.

Still, I had my doubts about the wisdom of this safe choice, all of which evaporated when I heard his first campaign speech today.

This is exactly how it sounded to me.

So. Two predictions down, two predictions wrong.

Stay tuned.

— jules

Jules Predicts

I predict that Hillary Clinton’s choice for vice president will be male and ethnic, either Black or Hispanic. Probably Hispanic. Maybe sharing a name with a revolutionary or a former slave.

 

PS I’ve enjoyed and appreciated your many replies, and there’s one I just have to share. It’s from Erin Caslavka in northern California. In response to this, “I predict that Donald Trump will not pick any of [his rivals] as his running mate. I further predict that his choice will not be a nationally known political figure,” she wrote this:

Wait, wait … don’t tell me: it’ll be Cher! Because she’ll bring in the female, LGBT, 60+ and Native American vote AND can perform at the swearing-in ceremony. Plus, she’ll be instrumental in pushing Congress to enact healthcare reform that covers plastic surgery.

 

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free-crab-tomorrow

WILL/WON’T WORK FOR FOOD

[I wrote this in 2012. Now, examiner.com has suddenly and without any real advance notice to its “content providers,” closed up shop.]

How is it, dear friends, that so many of us don’t just say no?

We gnash and moan at the parlous, perilous, ever-worsening state of writing for pay… and then we write for free.

I’m not talking about writing for struggling startups. Nor for good causes. I’m talking Huffington Post. I’m talking examiner.com

And I know why you’re doing it. When I ask, you give me answers I understand. “I do it for the free trips. For the free theatre tickets. For the free lunch.”

I understand.What I hope you’ll understand: There is no free lunch.

Especially for writers. When you write for lunch or tickets or trips, you’re holding out a sign that says, WILL WORK FOR FOOD.

And once you do that, there is no reason on this good, green Earth that anybody should hire you for money. Ever.

When you write for Huffington Post, you’re working for AOL — they own Huffington Post. How’s AOL doing when they’re not paying you?  They’ve just “reported more than a fourfold jump in first-quarter profit as online advertising revenue increased. Net income rose to $21.2 million from $4.7 million a year earlier.”

When you write for peanuts — no, for peanut shells — for examiner.com, you’re putting cash in the pocket of a billionaire who uses what he doesn’t pay you to support right-wing causes that will make you even worse-off than you are now.

Why are AOL and examiner.com doing so well? In part, because you’re supporting them. You are a 21st century ragged-trousered philanthropist. That phrase was coined in 1910 by Irish-English author Robert Tressell to describe workers “who throw themselves into back-breaking work for poverty wages in order to generate profit for their masters.”

I urge you: Don’t be that sap.

Don’t steal from yourself. Don’t take food from your family. Don’t be a ragged-trousered philanthropist.

Stop giving away your talent, your skills, your work to the obscenely rich who grow ever richer on your back. Your voluntarily offered back.

Take back your back.

Demand pay for your services. Your plumber does. Your kid’s teacher does. Your receptionist/librarian/nurse/croupier/mailman/mechanic/publisher does. So should you. Starting here and now — Just say no. Let your sign read,

WON’T WORK FOR FOOD.

— jules

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Jules Predicts

Despite his loss at the polls (assuming I’m right), I predict that Donald Trump will be the worst loser in the history of American presidential politics. Instead of a graceful concession, he will proclaim that he was robbed, the election was fixed, and his followers should take to the streets in protest. Burn the house down! He will urge this from the safety of his gold-plated penthouse.

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Jules Predicts

Although early polls declare Clinton and Trump to be in a dead heat, I predict that the clear and decisive winner of the 2016 presidential election will be … Hillary Rodham Clinton. But

And another PS, this time from Hugh Clarkson in New Zealand:

I predict that the Don will pick himself as his running mate. People will love both of him. A bit awkward if, God forbid, something should happen to President Don but, since there won’t be any problems left to fix after a month or so, he’ll be willing to take the risk.

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I predict that Hillary Clinton’s choice for vice president will be male and ethnic, either Black or Hispanic. Probably Hispanic. Maybe sharing a name with a revolutionary or a former slave.

PS I’ve enjoyed and appreciated your many replies, and there’s one I just have to share. It’s from Erin Caslavka in northern California. In response to this, “I predict that Donald Trump will not pick any of [his rivals] as his running mate. I further predict that his choice will not be a nationally known political figure,” she wrote this:

Wait, wait … don’t tell me: it’ll be Cher! Because she’ll bring in the female, LGBT, 60+ and Native American vote AND can perform at the swearing-in ceremony. Plus, she’ll be instrumental in pushing Congress to enact healthcare reform that covers plastic surgery.

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Jules Predicts

While his former Republican rivals, even those he most brutally mocked (“Rick Perry should be forced to take an IQ test before being allowed to enter the GOP debate.” “Little Marco Rubio is just another politician that is all talk and no action.”), are shouting “Choose me! Choose me!” I predict that Donald Trump will not pick any of them as his running mate. I further predict that his choice will not be a nationally known political figure.

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Jules Predicts? Four times now (most recently in 2012), I’ve made five predictions about events in the not-too-distant future. Starting tomorrow, you’ll see my predictions and be able to judge their correctness, or lack, thereof.

— jules

PS I’d intended to end there, but given today’s event in Orlando, Florida, I’ll make one more prediction.

Despite the mass murder of Americans by a self-declared enemy of America, the state of Florida will impose not a single control on weapons.

 

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